• Wendell Quan Fun

My full lineup of #FantasyBasketball picks for 3/3/22

First of all, what does PIE mean?

PIE stands for "player impact estimate," and it is a single stat that measures how involved a player is in everything that happens during the game, good and bad. It is calculated from all the counting stats you care about in terms of fantasy basketball, and factors in playing time as well. It attempts to answer the question, "how productive is the player in the minutes that he is given?"

What makes a good PIE?

Theoretically, an average player has a PIE of 10 because he shares the floor with nine other players when he's playing (meaning a total of ten players in the game). They would all be involved in about 10% of everything that happens during the game. To give you an idea, Nikola Jokic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Joel Embiid lead the NBA with PIEs between 21 and 23. Each of them is TWICE as productive as an average player.

Let's look at tonight's picks:

Spencer Dinwiddie (DAL): 21.2 vs. GS

This was all based on one game that just happened last week, when Dinwiddie dragged his Mavericks out of a 19-point fourth quarter deficit against the Warriors. And he had a GREAT game -- 24 points, 5 assists, and 10-of-14 shooting off the bench. Sure, the sample size is very small, but it's too good a stat line to ignore.

Dwight Howard (LAL): 17.3 vs. LAC

Dwight Howard's PIE is so high because he was very efficient in 19.1 mpg versus the Clippers this season. He averaged 9.0 ppg, 8.3 rpg, and 1.3 bpg. What makes this a great pick is that he has played against the Clippers three times in 2021-22, so his PIE is not a fluke. But most importantly, Dwight Howard is starting in place of the injured Anthony Davis right now, so he'll probably play more than 20 minutes tonight.

Danilo Gallinari (ATL): 17.1 vs. CHI

The Rooster's PIE is also based on a very small sample size -- one great game against the Bulls just last week. In 34 minutes, he scored 26 points and grabbed 9 rebounds. He shot 10-of-18 from the field.

Killian Hayes (DET): 13.9 vs. TOR

Killian's PIE versus the Raptors is almost 40% better than average, so he makes this list. He's a great pick if you're in a category league. In two games against the Raptors this season, he's averaged 9.0 ppg, 7.5 apg, and 6.5 rpg. He also chipped in a steal and a block per game. He has also put up similar stats in his last two games, against the Hornets and the Wizards, so he's on a bit of a streak.

Luke Kennard (LAC): 13.0 vs. LAL

Similar to Killian Hayes' PIE, 13.0 doesn't look like much, but it is 30% better than average. But what's the main ingredient in Luke Kennard's PIE? It's his three-point shooting. In three games against the Lakers this season, he's averaged 15.7 ppg on 4 three-pointers per game.

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